Abstract: Пространственный анализ обрабатывающей промышленности Балтийских регионов на основе глобального и локального индекса Морана The manufacturing industry of Russia’s Baltic regions has faced major global challenges in recent years, including the COVID- 19 pandemic and Western sanctions. This study aims to identify the spatiotemporal effects of these external shocks on industrial dynamics in Saint Petersburg, Leningrad and Kaliningrad regions, and to identify local clusters of industrial growth and decline. The methodological framework of the study is spatial analysis based on differential global and local Moran’s I statistics, which allows for the assessment of spatial autocorrelation in changes in industrial output at the municipal level during 2019-2023. Official Rosstat data, normalized (deflated) to precrisis levels, serve as the empirical basis of the study. The findings reveal pronounced heterogeneity in regional responses. In the Kaliningrad region, extensive zones of industrial decline emerged, reflecting the region’s high dependence on imports. By contrast, several municipalities in the Leningrad region demonstrated growth, supported by production diversification and government measures. These results make it possible to identify local poles of decline and growth, highlighting significant spatial disparities in the resilience of the manufacturing sector across Russia’s Baltic regions.

Cite: Krasnykh S.S.
Regional patterns of the manufacturing industry in the Baltic regions of Russia: a Moran’s I spatial analysis
Baltic Region. 2025. V.17. N3. P.102-122. DOI: 10.5922/2079-8555-2025-3-6 РИНЦ РИНЦ OpenAlex

Dates:

Published print:

Oct 3, 2025

Identifiers:

Elibrary:	83232984 | 83231721
OpenAlex:	W4416535751

Citing: Пока нет цитирований

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